Tadamon Sour vs Reyady Abaseya — Premier League 2025
Premier League·2025- Date
- Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Relegation Quarterfinals - 1
Reyady Abaseya score first in only 14% of matches
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 5+ matches
Tadamon Sour25%Reyady Abaseya51%✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Reyady Abaseya creates 53% more chances
Season form · 5 home / 14 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over51
- Under49
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes53
- No47
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Tadamon Sour ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Tadamon Sour at home — creates 0.80, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches
Reyady Abaseya away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.36 · 14 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Tadamon Sour attack 0.80 + Reyady Abaseya defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.08
Reyady Abaseya attack 1.50 + Tadamon Sour defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.65
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 51%?"
Reyady Abaseya at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 51% does not mean "Reyady Abaseya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Tadamon Sour score first in only 27% of matches
- Both teams score in only 32% of Reyady Abaseya’s matches
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Tadamon Sour host Reyady Abaseya on Thursday, 16 July 2026 at 14:00. The match is part of the Premier League 2025/2026 season.
Tadamon Sour face Reyady Abaseya (Premier League)
Premier League returns with Tadamon Sour hosting Reyady Abaseya. Match starts July 16, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.