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Tachov vs Jiskra Domažlice II — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Tachov
Tachov
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Jiskra Domažlice II
Jiskra Domažlice II
9/13/20254. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 6Stadion města Tachova

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Tachov37%
×Draw22%
Jiskra Domažlice II41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tachov
1.77
Jiskra Domažlice II
1.89

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 60 away

creates per match

Tachov
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice II
1.58

allows per match

Tachov
2.20
Jiskra Domažlice II
2.55

finishing

Tachov+0.00on par
Jiskra Domažlice II+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tachov ↓

Jiskra Domažlice II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Tachov or draw
59%
Tachov or Jiskra Domažlice II
78%
Draw or Jiskra Domažlice II
63%

Winning margin

Tachov wins by 2+
19%
Jiskra Domažlice II wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Tachov 1+ goals
83%
Tachov 2+ goals
53%
Tachov 3+ goals
26%
Jiskra Domažlice II 1+ goals
85%
Jiskra Domažlice II 2+ goals
56%
Jiskra Domažlice II 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Tachov (draw refunded)
47%
Jiskra Domažlice II (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tachov at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.20 · 30 matches

Jiskra Domažlice II away — creates 1.58, concedes 2.55 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tachov attack 1.00 + Jiskra Domažlice II defence 2.55 → ÷2 → 1.77

Jiskra Domažlice II attack 1.58 + Tachov defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Tachov scores more
37%
level
22%
Jiskra Domažlice II scores more
41%

Jiskra Domažlice II at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Jiskra Domažlice II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tachov 0 – 4 Jiskra Domažlice II

Jiskra Domažlice II beat Tachov 4-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on September 13, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion města Tachova in Tachov.