Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Táborsko II vs Admira Praha — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Táborsko II
Táborsko II
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Admira Praha
Admira Praha
11/16/20253. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 15Fotbalove hriste Svepomoc

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Táborsko II37%
×Draw24%
Admira Praha39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Táborsko II
1.52
Admira Praha
1.55

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 46 home / 83 away

creates per match

Táborsko II
1.39
Admira Praha
1.46

allows per match

Táborsko II
1.65
Admira Praha
1.66

finishing

Táborsko II+0.00on par
Admira Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Táborsko II ↓

Admira Praha →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Táborsko II or draw
61%
Táborsko II or Admira Praha
76%
Draw or Admira Praha
63%

Winning margin

Táborsko II wins by 2+
18%
Admira Praha wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Táborsko II 1+ goals
78%
Táborsko II 2+ goals
45%
Táborsko II 3+ goals
20%
Admira Praha 1+ goals
79%
Admira Praha 2+ goals
46%
Admira Praha 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Táborsko II (draw refunded)
49%
Admira Praha (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Táborsko II at home — creates 1.39, concedes 1.65 · 46 matches

Admira Praha away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.66 · 83 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Táborsko II attack 1.39 + Admira Praha defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.52

Admira Praha attack 1.46 + Táborsko II defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Táborsko II scores more
37%
level
24%
Admira Praha scores more
39%

Admira Praha at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Admira Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Táborsko II vs Admira Praha

Admira Praha beat Táborsko II 2-0 in 3. liga - CFL A on November 16, 2025.

The match was played at Fotbalove hriste Svepomoc.