Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tabankulu vs Nsingizini Hotspurs — Premier League 2020

Tabankulu
Tabankulu
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Nsingizini Hotspurs
Nsingizini Hotspurs
11/12/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Tabankulu31%
×Draw30%
Nsingizini Hotspurs39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tabankulu
0.97
Nsingizini Hotspurs
1.13

Nsingizini Hotspurs creates 16% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 54 away

creates per match

Tabankulu
1.27
Nsingizini Hotspurs
1.33

allows per match

Tabankulu
0.93
Nsingizini Hotspurs
0.67

finishing

Tabankulu+0.00on par
Nsingizini Hotspurs+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tabankulu ↓

Nsingizini Hotspurs →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–114%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Tabankulu or draw
61%
Tabankulu or Nsingizini Hotspurs
70%
Draw or Nsingizini Hotspurs
69%

Winning margin

Tabankulu wins by 2+
11%
Nsingizini Hotspurs wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Tabankulu 1+ goals
62%
Tabankulu 2+ goals
25%
Tabankulu 3+ goals
7%
Nsingizini Hotspurs 1+ goals
68%
Nsingizini Hotspurs 2+ goals
31%
Nsingizini Hotspurs 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Tabankulu (draw refunded)
44%
Nsingizini Hotspurs (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tabankulu at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

Nsingizini Hotspurs away — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tabankulu attack 1.27 + Nsingizini Hotspurs defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.97

Nsingizini Hotspurs attack 1.33 + Tabankulu defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Tabankulu scores more
31%
level
30%
Nsingizini Hotspurs scores more
39%

Nsingizini Hotspurs at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Nsingizini Hotspurs will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Tabankulu 2–0 Nsingizini Hotspurs

Tabankulu beat Nsingizini Hotspurs 2-0 in Premier League on November 12, 2025.