Szombathelyi Haladas 0–1 Lecce: Result & Stats

Szombathelyi Haladas

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Lecce

H. Laerke 54'

7/19/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Szombathelyi Haladas15%

×Draw22%

Lecce63%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Szombathelyi HaladasExpected goals in this matchLecce

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.75

1.83

Szombathelyi Haladas

0.75

Lecce

1.83

Lecce creates 144% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 3 away

1.50

creates per match

3.00

0.67

allows per match

0.00

creates per match

Szombathelyi Haladas

1.50

Lecce

3.00

allows per match

Szombathelyi Haladas

0.67

Lecce

0.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Szombathelyi Haladas+0.00on par

Lecce+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Szombathelyi Haladas ↓

Lecce →

0–08%

0–114%

0–213%

0–38%

0–44%

1–06%

1–110%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2–02%

2–14%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Szombathelyi Haladas or draw

37%

Szombathelyi Haladas or Lecce

78%

Draw or Lecce

85%

Winning margin

Szombathelyi Haladas wins by 2+

Lecce wins by 2+

37%

Team goals

Szombathelyi Haladas 1+ goals

53%

Szombathelyi Haladas 2+ goals

17%

Szombathelyi Haladas 3+ goals

Lecce 1+ goals

84%

Lecce 2+ goals

54%

Lecce 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Szombathelyi Haladas (draw refunded)

19%

Lecce (draw refunded)

81%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Szombathelyi Haladas at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.67 · 12 matches

Lecce away — creates 3.00, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Szombathelyi Haladas attack 1.50 + Lecce defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.75

Lecce attack 3.00 + Szombathelyi Haladas defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 63%?"

Szombathelyi Haladas scores more

15%

level

22%

Lecce scores more

63%

Lecce at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Lecce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

54'

H. Laerke

Szombathelyi

Lecce

Manager: P. Bošnjak

Szombathelyi Haladas substitutes

BositsTasnadiTarjanSagiMihalyKovariSzegediOrban

Manager: Eusebio Di Francesco

Lecce substitutes

FruchtlGabrielSiebertNdabaFofanaLaerkeMalehGorter

Friendlies Clubs: Szombathelyi Haladas 0–1 Lecce

Lecce beat Szombathelyi Haladas 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 19, 2026.

Goals: H. Laerke (54').

Szombathelyi Haladas vs Lecce — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Szombathelyi Haladas 0–1 Lecce