Switzerland U19 0–7 Denmark U19: Result & Stats

Switzerland U19

FT

0 – 7

HT: 0 – 2

Denmark U19

H. Rasmussen 89'

J. Emefile 86'

O. Hyseni 60'

A. Gothler 57'

W. Martin 48'

V. Moller 18'

G. Schjott 7'

11/18/2025

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Switzerland U1918%

×Draw20%

Denmark U1962%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Switzerland U19Expected goals in this matchDenmark U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.05

2.12

Switzerland U19

1.05

Denmark U19

2.12

Denmark U19 creates 102% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 12 away

1.27

creates per match

2.50

1.73

allows per match

0.83

creates per match

Switzerland U19

1.27

Denmark U19

2.50

allows per match

Switzerland U19

1.73

Denmark U19

0.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Switzerland U19+0.00on par

Denmark U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Switzerland U19 ↓

Denmark U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–19%

0–29%

0–37%

0–44%

1

1–04%

1–19%

1–210%

1–37%

1–44%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–25%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Switzerland U19 or draw

38%

Switzerland U19 or Denmark U19

80%

Draw or Denmark U19

82%

Winning margin

Switzerland U19 wins by 2+

6%

Denmark U19 wins by 2+

38%

Team goals

Switzerland U19 1+ goals

65%

Switzerland U19 2+ goals

28%

Switzerland U19 3+ goals

9%

Denmark U19 1+ goals

88%

Denmark U19 2+ goals

62%

Denmark U19 3+ goals

35%

Draw no bet

Switzerland U19 (draw refunded)

23%

Denmark U19 (draw refunded)

77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Switzerland U19 at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.73 · 11 matches

Denmark U19 away — creates 2.50, concedes 0.83 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Switzerland U19 attack 1.27 + Denmark U19 defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.05

Denmark U19 attack 2.50 + Switzerland U19 defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 2.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Switzerland U19 scores more

18%

level

20%

Denmark U19 scores more

62%

Denmark U19 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Denmark U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'

18'

36'

41'

48'

57'

60'

64'

M. Miguel← E. Rufener

64'

A. Tchamda← E. Etoski

65'

P. Sondergaard← G. Schjott

65'

H. Rasmussen← A. Gothler

72'

Y. Peverelli← N. Volken

72'

L. Kabashi← I. Parra

75'

J. Emefile← O. Hyseni

75'

O. Vest← W. Martin

85'

M. Oxenberg← M. Heyde

86'

J. Emefile

89'

H. Rasmussen

Switzerland

Denmark

1

Breum-Har

2

Gustafsen

5

⚽

▼

Schjott

4

Andersen

6

Stuker

11

⚽

▼

Martin

7

▼

Heyde

8

⚽

Moller

17

Laerke

14

⚽

▼

Gothler

10

⚽

▼

21

5

19

3

16

▼

Etoski

10

Tairi

6

▼

Rufener

17

▼

Volken

7

Aguilar

11

Vasovic

8

▼

Parra

Manager: M. Rizzo

64'▲M. Miguel←▼E. Rufener

64'▲A. Tchamda←▼E. Etoski

72'▲Y. Peverelli←▼N. Volken

72'▲L. Kabashi←▼I. Parra

Switzerland U19 substitutes

1Huwiler2Camara4Bein9Cakolli14Peverelli18Miguel20Tchamda22Kabashi23Silva

Manager: Mads Kristensen

65'▲P. Sondergaard←▼G. Schjott

65'▲H. Rasmussen←▼A. Gothler

75'▲J. Emefile←▼O. Hyseni

75'▲O. Vest←▼W. Martin

85'▲M. Oxenberg←▼M. Heyde

Denmark U19 substitutes

16Eskildsen3Sondergaard9Rasmussen12Oxenberg13Larsen15Emefile18Johannesen19Vest