Swedru All Blacks 2–0 Basake Holy Stars

Swedru All Blacks

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Basake Holy Stars

10/19/2025

Premier League · Round 6Swedru Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Swedru All Blacks61%

×Draw26%

Basake Holy Stars13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Swedru All BlacksExpected goals in this matchBasake Holy Stars

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

0.52

Swedru All Blacks

1.50

Basake Holy Stars

0.52

Swedru All Blacks creates 188% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 33 away

1.24

creates per match

0.45

0.59

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

Swedru All Blacks

1.24

Basake Holy Stars

0.45

allows per match

Swedru All Blacks

0.59

Basake Holy Stars

1.76

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Swedru All Blacks+0.00on par

Basake Holy Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No69
Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Swedru All Blacks ↓

Basake Holy Stars →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–17%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–020%

1–110%

1–23%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Swedru All Blacks or draw

87%

Swedru All Blacks or Basake Holy Stars

74%

Draw or Basake Holy Stars

39%

Winning margin

Swedru All Blacks wins by 2+

33%

Basake Holy Stars wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Swedru All Blacks 1+ goals

78%

Swedru All Blacks 2+ goals

44%

Swedru All Blacks 3+ goals

19%

Basake Holy Stars 1+ goals

41%

Basake Holy Stars 2+ goals

10%

Basake Holy Stars 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Swedru All Blacks (draw refunded)

83%

Basake Holy Stars (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Swedru All Blacks at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.59 · 17 matches

Basake Holy Stars away — creates 0.45, concedes 1.76 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Swedru All Blacks attack 1.24 + Basake Holy Stars defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.50

Basake Holy Stars attack 0.45 + Swedru All Blacks defence 0.59 → ÷2 → 0.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Swedru All Blacks scores more

61%

level

26%

Basake Holy Stars scores more

13%

Swedru All Blacks at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Swedru All Blacks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Swedru All Blacks 2–0 Basake Holy Stars

Swedru All Blacks beat Basake Holy Stars 2-0 in Premier League on October 19, 2025.

The match was played at Swedru Stadium in Agona Swedru.

Swedru All Blacks vs Basake Holy Stars — Premier League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Premier League: Swedru All Blacks 2–0 Basake Holy Stars