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SV Sandhausen vs SV Wehen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SV Sandhausen
SV Sandhausen
CANC
15:00
SV Wehen
SV Wehen
9/4/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

SV Sandhausen49%
×Draw21%
SV Wehen30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Sandhausen
2.21
SV Wehen
1.71

SV Sandhausen creates 29% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

creates per match

SV Sandhausen
2.56
SV Wehen
1.43

allows per match

SV Sandhausen
2.00
SV Wehen
1.86

finishing

SV Sandhausen+0.00on par
SV Wehen+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Sandhausen ↓

SV Wehen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

SV Sandhausen or draw
70%
SV Sandhausen or SV Wehen
79%
Draw or SV Wehen
51%

Winning margin

SV Sandhausen wins by 2+
29%
SV Wehen wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

SV Sandhausen 1+ goals
89%
SV Sandhausen 2+ goals
65%
SV Sandhausen 3+ goals
38%
SV Wehen 1+ goals
82%
SV Wehen 2+ goals
51%
SV Wehen 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

SV Sandhausen (draw refunded)
62%
SV Wehen (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Sandhausen at home — creates 2.56, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

SV Wehen away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Sandhausen attack 2.56 + SV Wehen defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 2.21

SV Wehen attack 1.43 + SV Sandhausen defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

SV Sandhausen scores more
49%
level
21%
SV Wehen scores more
30%

SV Sandhausen at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "SV Sandhausen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

SV Sandhausen face SV Wehen (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with SV Sandhausen hosting SV Wehen. Match starts September 4, 2020. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

SV Sandhausen host SV Wehen at BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.