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SV Meppen vs SSV Jeddeloh — League #84 2026

SV Meppen
SV Meppen
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
SSV Jeddeloh
SSV Jeddeloh
9/5/2025League #84League #84 · North - 8Hansch-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

SV Meppen64%
×Draw18%
SSV Jeddeloh18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Meppen
2.60
SSV Jeddeloh
1.32

SV Meppen creates 97% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 8 away

creates per match

SV Meppen
3.20
SSV Jeddeloh
1.25

allows per match

SV Meppen
1.40
SSV Jeddeloh
2.00

finishing

SV Meppen+0.00on par
SSV Jeddeloh+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Meppen ↓

SSV Jeddeloh →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
54%46%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

SV Meppen or draw
82%
SV Meppen or SSV Jeddeloh
82%
Draw or SSV Jeddeloh
36%

Winning margin

SV Meppen wins by 2+
43%
SSV Jeddeloh wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

SV Meppen 1+ goals
92%
SV Meppen 2+ goals
73%
SV Meppen 3+ goals
47%
SSV Jeddeloh 1+ goals
73%
SSV Jeddeloh 2+ goals
38%
SSV Jeddeloh 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

SV Meppen (draw refunded)
78%
SSV Jeddeloh (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Meppen at home — creates 3.20, concedes 1.40 · 5 matches

SSV Jeddeloh away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Meppen attack 3.20 + SSV Jeddeloh defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.60

SSV Jeddeloh attack 1.25 + SV Meppen defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

SV Meppen scores more
64%
level
18%
SSV Jeddeloh scores more
18%

SV Meppen at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "SV Meppen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #84: SV Meppen 4–0 SSV Jeddeloh

SV Meppen beat SSV Jeddeloh 4-0 in League #84 on September 5, 2025.

The match was played at Hansch-Arena in Meppen.