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SV Lafnitz vs Fehérvár FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SV Lafnitz
SV Lafnitz
FT
1 – 2
Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC
6/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportplatz Lafnitz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

SV Lafnitz33%
×Draw22%
Fehérvár FC46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Lafnitz
1.63
Fehérvár FC
1.96

Fehérvár FC creates 20% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 12 away

creates per match

SV Lafnitz
2.00
Fehérvár FC
1.25

allows per match

SV Lafnitz
2.67
Fehérvár FC
1.25

finishing

SV Lafnitz+0.00on par
Fehérvár FC+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Lafnitz ↓

Fehérvár FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

SV Lafnitz or draw
54%
SV Lafnitz or Fehérvár FC
78%
Draw or Fehérvár FC
67%

Winning margin

SV Lafnitz wins by 2+
16%
Fehérvár FC wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

SV Lafnitz 1+ goals
80%
SV Lafnitz 2+ goals
48%
SV Lafnitz 3+ goals
22%
Fehérvár FC 1+ goals
86%
Fehérvár FC 2+ goals
58%
Fehérvár FC 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

SV Lafnitz (draw refunded)
42%
Fehérvár FC (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Lafnitz at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

Fehérvár FC away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Lafnitz attack 2.00 + Fehérvár FC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.63

Fehérvár FC attack 1.25 + SV Lafnitz defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

SV Lafnitz scores more
33%
level
22%
Fehérvár FC scores more
46%

Fehérvár FC at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Fehérvár FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: SV Lafnitz 1–2 Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC beat SV Lafnitz 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 17, 2021.

The match was played at Sportplatz Lafnitz in Lafnitz.