SV Babelsberg 03 6–0 VfL Halle: Result & Stats

SV Babelsberg 03

FT

6 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

VfL Halle

T. Schmidt 90' (pen)

A. Yilmaz 84'

L. Butkovic 59'

G. Didoss 34'

M. Covic 29', 6'

1/17/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

SV Babelsberg 0356%

×Draw19%

VfL Halle25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SV Babelsberg 03Expected goals in this matchVfL Halle

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.65

1.77

SV Babelsberg 03

2.65

VfL Halle

1.77

SV Babelsberg 03 creates 50% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 5 away

2.09

creates per match

1.80

1.73

allows per match

3.20

creates per match

SV Babelsberg 03

2.09

VfL Halle

1.80

allows per match

SV Babelsberg 03

1.73

VfL Halle

3.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

SV Babelsberg 03+0.00on par

VfL Halle+0.00on par

Total goals

Over81
Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes77
No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Babelsberg 03 ↓

VfL Halle →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–03%

1–16%

1–25%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

81%19%3.5

64%36%4.5

44%56%

Double chance

SV Babelsberg 03 or draw

75%

SV Babelsberg 03 or VfL Halle

81%

Draw or VfL Halle

44%

Winning margin

SV Babelsberg 03 wins by 2+

36%

VfL Halle wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

SV Babelsberg 03 1+ goals

93%

SV Babelsberg 03 2+ goals

74%

SV Babelsberg 03 3+ goals

48%

VfL Halle 1+ goals

83%

VfL Halle 2+ goals

53%

VfL Halle 3+ goals

26%

Draw no bet

SV Babelsberg 03 (draw refunded)

69%

VfL Halle (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

71%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Babelsberg 03 at home — creates 2.09, concedes 1.73 · 11 matches

VfL Halle away — creates 1.80, concedes 3.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Babelsberg 03 attack 2.09 + VfL Halle defence 3.20 → ÷2 → 2.65

VfL Halle attack 1.80 + SV Babelsberg 03 defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

SV Babelsberg 03 scores more

56%

level

19%

VfL Halle scores more

25%

SV Babelsberg 03 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "SV Babelsberg 03 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

29'

34'

59'

84'

90'

T. SchmidtPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff