Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sutton Utd vs Walton & Hersham — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Walton & Hersham
Walton & Hersham
B. Topalloj 32'
S. Toure 69'
7/21/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Sutton Utd33%
×Draw24%
Walton & Hersham43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sutton Utd
1.42
Walton & Hersham
1.67

Walton & Hersham creates 18% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 4 away

creates per match

Sutton Utd
1.33
Walton & Hersham
2.00

allows per match

Sutton Utd
1.33
Walton & Hersham
1.50

finishing

Sutton Utd+0.00on par
Walton & Hersham+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sutton Utd ↓

Walton & Hersham →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Sutton Utd or draw
57%
Sutton Utd or Walton & Hersham
76%
Draw or Walton & Hersham
67%

Winning margin

Sutton Utd wins by 2+
15%
Walton & Hersham wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Sutton Utd 1+ goals
76%
Sutton Utd 2+ goals
41%
Sutton Utd 3+ goals
17%
Walton & Hersham 1+ goals
81%
Walton & Hersham 2+ goals
50%
Walton & Hersham 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Sutton Utd (draw refunded)
43%
Walton & Hersham (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sutton Utd at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Walton & Hersham away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sutton Utd attack 1.33 + Walton & Hersham defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.42

Walton & Hersham attack 2.00 + Sutton Utd defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Sutton Utd scores more
33%
level
24%
Walton & Hersham scores more
43%

Walton & Hersham at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Walton & Hersham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

32'
B. Topalloj
69'
S. Toure

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Sutton Utd 1 – 1 Walton & Hersham

Sutton Utd and Walton & Hersham drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 21, 2026.

Goals: B. Topalloj (32'), S. Toure (69').