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Stupčanica Olovo vs Igman Konjic — 1st League - FBiH 2019

Stupčanica Olovo
Stupčanica Olovo
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Igman Konjic
Igman Konjic
S. Doljancic 84'
E. Mehmedovic 56'
F. Mehanovic 25'
A. Hubanic 17'
11/16/20251st League - FBiH1st League - FBiH · FBiH - 13Gradski stadion Olovo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Stupčanica Olovo57%
×Draw24%
Igman Konjic20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stupčanica Olovo
1.75
Igman Konjic
0.92

Stupčanica Olovo creates 90% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 54 away

creates per match

Stupčanica Olovo
2.11
Igman Konjic
0.98

allows per match

Stupčanica Olovo
0.86
Igman Konjic
1.39

finishing

Stupčanica Olovo+0.00on par
Igman Konjic+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 50Over: 5050%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

No: 50Yes: 5050%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stupčanica Olovo ↓

Igman Konjic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Stupčanica Olovo or draw
80%
Stupčanica Olovo or Igman Konjic
76%
Draw or Igman Konjic
43%

Winning margin

Stupčanica Olovo wins by 2+
32%
Igman Konjic wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Stupčanica Olovo 1+ goals
83%
Stupčanica Olovo 2+ goals
52%
Stupčanica Olovo 3+ goals
25%
Igman Konjic 1+ goals
60%
Igman Konjic 2+ goals
23%
Igman Konjic 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Stupčanica Olovo (draw refunded)
74%
Igman Konjic (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stupčanica Olovo at home — creates 2.11, concedes 0.86 · 57 matches

Igman Konjic away — creates 0.98, concedes 1.39 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stupčanica Olovo attack 2.11 + Igman Konjic defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.75

Igman Konjic attack 0.98 + Stupčanica Olovo defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Stupčanica Olovo scores more
57%
level
24%
Igman Konjic scores more
20%

Stupčanica Olovo at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Stupčanica Olovo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'
A. Hubanic
25'
F. Mehanovic
56'
E. Mehmedovic
84'
S. Doljancic
Stupčanica
Igman
D. Zaimović
Manager: D. Zaimović
A. Peternac
Manager: A. Peternac

1st League - FBiH: Stupčanica Olovo 4–0 Igman Konjic

Stupčanica Olovo beat Igman Konjic 4-0 in 1st League - FBiH on November 16, 2025.

Goals: A. Hubanic (17'), F. Mehanovic (25'), E. Mehmedovic (56'), S. Doljancic (84').

The match was played at Gradski stadion Olovo in Olovo.