Strumska Slava 0–0 Dunav Ruse: Result & Stats

Strumska Slava

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dunav Ruse

3/22/2025

Second League · Round 27Gradski stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 69+ matches

Strumska Slava38%

×Draw29%

Dunav Ruse33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Strumska SlavaExpected goals in this matchDunav Ruse

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.13

1.04

Strumska Slava

1.13

Dunav Ruse

1.04

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 93 home / 69 away

1.12

creates per match

1.19

0.90

allows per match

1.14

creates per match

Strumska Slava

1.12

Dunav Ruse

1.19

allows per match

Strumska Slava

0.90

Dunav Ruse

1.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Strumska Slava+0.00on par

Dunav Ruse+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Strumska Slava ↓

Dunav Ruse →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Strumska Slava or draw

67%

Strumska Slava or Dunav Ruse

71%

Draw or Dunav Ruse

62%

Winning margin

Strumska Slava wins by 2+

15%

Dunav Ruse wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Strumska Slava 1+ goals

68%

Strumska Slava 2+ goals

31%

Strumska Slava 3+ goals

11%

Dunav Ruse 1+ goals

65%

Dunav Ruse 2+ goals

28%

Dunav Ruse 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Strumska Slava (draw refunded)

53%

Dunav Ruse (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Strumska Slava at home — creates 1.12, concedes 0.90 · 93 matches

Dunav Ruse away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.14 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Strumska Slava attack 1.12 + Dunav Ruse defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.13

Dunav Ruse attack 1.19 + Strumska Slava defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Strumska Slava scores more

38%

level

29%

Dunav Ruse scores more

33%

Strumska Slava at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Strumska Slava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

31'

A. Laskov

34'

K. Gospodinov← D. Todorov

46'

D. Vladimirov← E. Okwudima

48'

P. Kepov

52'

M. Dilchovski

58'

D. Dimitrov← D. Minchev

73'

V. Stoykov← D. Vladimirov

80'

R. Apostolov

81'

Y. Dimitrov← J. NSondé

85'

G. Yanev← T. Vachev

85'

J. Ivanoff← A. Asparuhov

86'

G. Yanev

90'

N. Bandev

90+1'

M. Kostov← N. Bandev

Strumska

Dunav

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: S. Goshev

46'▲D. Vladimirov←▼E. Okwudima

73'▲V. Stoykov←▼D. Vladimirov

85'▲G. Yanev←▼T. Vachev

85'▲J. Ivanoff←▼A. Asparuhov

90+1'▲M. Kostov←▼N. Bandev

Strumska Slava substitutes

VladimirovStoykovYanevIvanoffKostovPetrovStanchevDotsevVladimirov

Manager: G. Chilikov

34'▲K. Gospodinov←▼D. Todorov

58'▲D. Dimitrov←▼D. Minchev

81'▲Y. Dimitrov←▼J. NSondé

Dunav Ruse substitutes

GospodinovDimitrovDimitrovSimeonovStefanovTasev

Second League: Strumska Slava 0–0 Dunav Ruse

Strumska Slava and Dunav Ruse drew 0-0 in Second League on March 22, 2025.

The match was played at Gradski stadion in Radomir.

Strumska Slava vs Dunav Ruse — Second League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Second League: Strumska Slava 0–0 Dunav Ruse