Stromsgodset 6–0 jerv: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Stromsgodset

FT

6 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

jerv

F. Friday 88', 61'

T. Gulliksen 77', 63'

I. Jack 58'

J. Hove 16'

8/21/2022

Eliteserien · Round 19Marienlyst Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Stromsgodset57%

×Draw21%

jerv22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StromsgodsetExpected goals in this matchjerv

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.13

1.27

Stromsgodset

2.13

jerv

1.27

Stromsgodset creates 68% more chances

Season form · 107 home / 15 away

1.58

creates per match

1.00

1.54

allows per match

2.67

creates per match

Stromsgodset

1.58

jerv

1.00

allows per match

Stromsgodset

1.54

jerv

2.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Stromsgodset+0.00on par

jerv+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stromsgodset ↓

jerv →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Stromsgodset or draw

78%

Stromsgodset or jerv

79%

Draw or jerv

43%

Winning margin

Stromsgodset wins by 2+

35%

jerv wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Stromsgodset 1+ goals

88%

Stromsgodset 2+ goals

63%

Stromsgodset 3+ goals

35%

jerv 1+ goals

72%

jerv 2+ goals

36%

jerv 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Stromsgodset (draw refunded)

72%

jerv (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stromsgodset at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.54 · 107 matches

jerv away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.67 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stromsgodset attack 1.58 + jerv defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.13

jerv attack 1.00 + Stromsgodset defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Stromsgodset scores more

57%

level

21%

jerv scores more

22%

Stromsgodset at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Stromsgodset will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

I. Jack

Stromsgodset · M

9.3

Match Events

16'

J. Hove

36'

Fabian Holst-Larsen

39'

Leandro Fernandes

46'

O. Kolskogen← H. Bredeli

46'

I. Mafi← T. Wichne

52'

Kristoffer Tokstad

58'

I. Jack↳ F. Holst-Larsen

61'

F. Friday↳ I. Jack

62'

A. Diallo← L. Fernandes

63'

T. Gulliksen↳ I. Jack

70'

E. Boahene← I. Jack

70'

J. Braut Brunes← F. Holst-Larsen

76'

F. Schröter← A. Şimşir

77'

T. Gulliksen

81'

M. Ugland← D. Håkans

82'

A. Thorsen← T. Gulliksen

85'

S. Hanssen← N. Gunnarsson

85'

E. Danso← J. Hove

88'

F. Friday↳ A. Thorsen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Stromsgodsetjerv

Overview

50%Possession50%

32Total Shots12

11Corners7

10Fouls11

Shots

32Total Shots12

16On Target6

10Off Target1

6Blocked5

20Inside Box5

12Outside Box7

Passing

50%Possession50%

393Total Passes409

327Accurate Passes323

83%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

6Saves10

Discipline

10Fouls11

2Yellow Cards1

4Offsides3

Eliteserien: Stromsgodset 6–0 jerv

Stromsgodset beat jerv 6-0 in Eliteserien on August 21, 2022.

Goals: J. Hove (16'), I. Jack (58'), F. Friday (61', 88'), T. Gulliksen (63', 77').

Stromsgodset controlled possession (50%) and registered 32 shots to 12.

The match was played at Marienlyst Stadion in Drammen.

Stromsgodset vs jerv — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Stromsgodset 6–0 jerv