Scoreo

Stripfing vs TraiskirchenFriendlies Clubs 2026

2/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Generali Arena - Platz 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Stripfing51%
×Draw20%
Traiskirchen29%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stripfing
2.30
Traiskirchen
1.70

Stripfing creates 35% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

Stripfing
1.20
Traiskirchen
1.60

allows per match

Stripfing
1.80
Traiskirchen
3.40

finishing

Stripfing+0.00on par
Traiskirchen+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stripfing

Traiskirchen
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
023%
032%
041%
1
104%
117%
126%
133%
141%
2
205%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
304%
316%
325%
333%
341%
4
402%
414%
423%
432%
441%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Stripfing or draw
71%
Stripfing or Traiskirchen
80%
Draw or Traiskirchen
49%

Winning margin

Stripfing wins by 2+
31%
Traiskirchen wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Stripfing 1+ goals
90%
Stripfing 2+ goals
67%
Stripfing 3+ goals
40%
Traiskirchen 1+ goals
82%
Traiskirchen 2+ goals
51%
Traiskirchen 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Stripfing (draw refunded)
64%
Traiskirchen (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stripfing at homecreates 1.20, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

Traiskirchen awaycreates 1.60, concedes 3.40 · 5 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stripfing attack 1.20 + Traiskirchen defence 3.40 → ÷2 → 2.30

Traiskirchen attack 1.60 + Stripfing defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Stripfing scores more
51%
level
20%
Traiskirchen scores more
29%

Stripfing at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Stripfing will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Stripfing host Traiskirchen

February 9, 2024: Stripfing take on Traiskirchen in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Stripfing host Traiskirchen at Generali Arena - Platz 2.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.