Strindheim 1–2 Kjelsås: Result & Stats

Strindheim

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Kjelsås

H. Berge 90'

J. Aslaksrud 31', 3'

3/29/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 1Leangen Bolig Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Strindheim39%

×Draw24%

Kjelsås37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StrindheimExpected goals in this matchKjelsås

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.51

Strindheim

1.54

Kjelsås

1.51

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 26 home / 70 away

1.73

creates per match

1.56

1.46

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Strindheim

1.73

Kjelsås

1.56

allows per match

Strindheim

1.46

Kjelsås

1.34

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Strindheim+0.00on par

Kjelsås+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Strindheim ↓

Kjelsås →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Strindheim or draw

63%

Strindheim or Kjelsås

76%

Draw or Kjelsås

61%

Winning margin

Strindheim wins by 2+

19%

Kjelsås wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Strindheim 1+ goals

79%

Strindheim 2+ goals

45%

Strindheim 3+ goals

20%

Kjelsås 1+ goals

78%

Kjelsås 2+ goals

44%

Kjelsås 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Strindheim (draw refunded)

51%

Kjelsås (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Strindheim at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.46 · 26 matches

Kjelsås away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.34 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Strindheim attack 1.73 + Kjelsås defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.54

Kjelsås attack 1.56 + Strindheim defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Strindheim scores more

39%

level

24%

Kjelsås scores more

37%

Strindheim at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Strindheim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

29'

31'

39'

53'

A. Mahammed←

55'

S. Olafsen

69'

J. Kosberg← P. Johansen

69'

F. Nyheim← H. Standal

70'

H. Vassdal← M. Ali Alzubi

70'

J. Holter← L. Hermansen

83'

K. Morkved← A. Reiertsen Angellsen

88'

F. Lund

90'

H. Berge

Strindheim

Kjelsås

24

3

5

17

22

8

▼

Hermansen

13

▼

Alzubi

21

▼

Berge

25

Sture

9

⚽2

19

1

4

20

▼

Angellsen

22

Halgunset

55

▼

Standal

6

Glosen

8

Lund

17

⚽

Berge

9

Feldt

11

▼

Johansen

29

Kvande

Manager: P. Rinnan

69'▲J. Kosberg←▼P. Johansen

69'▲F. Nyheim←▼H. Standal

83'▲K. Morkved←▼A. Reiertsen Angellsen

Strindheim substitutes

12Misje7Saugestad10Kosberg14Nyheim23Silseth25Morkved27Donnem28Kebe39Kizilirmak

Manager: E. Kampen

29'▲A. Abbas←▼S. Berge

53'▲A. Mahammed←▼—

70'▲H. Vassdal←▼M. Ali Alzubi

70'▲J. Holter←▼L. Hermansen

Kjelsås substitutes

1Brauti4Vassdal6Lamin10Abbas14Fredriksen15Broch20Holter27Mahammed29Halvorsen

Match Recap: Strindheim vs Kjelsås

Kjelsås beat Strindheim 2-1 in 2. Division - Group 2 on March 29, 2025.

Goals: J. Aslaksrud (3', 31'), H. Berge (90').

The match was played at Leangen Bolig Arena in Trondheim.

Strindheim vs Kjelsås — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Strindheim vs Kjelsås