Strindheim 4–1 Asker: Result & Stats

Strindheim

FT

4 – 1

HT: 3 – 1

Asker

F. Lund 80'

A. Glosen 44'

G. Lewis 42'

V. Kvande 29'

J. Johansen 41'

9/6/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 19Leangen Bolig Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Strindheim47%

×Draw23%

Asker30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StrindheimExpected goals in this matchAsker

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.77

1.38

Strindheim

1.77

Asker

1.38

Strindheim creates 28% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 45 away

1.73

creates per match

1.29

1.46

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Strindheim

1.73

Asker

1.29

allows per match

Strindheim

1.46

Asker

1.82

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Strindheim+0.00on par

Asker+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Strindheim ↓

Asker →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Strindheim or draw

70%

Strindheim or Asker

77%

Draw or Asker

53%

Winning margin

Strindheim wins by 2+

25%

Asker wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Strindheim 1+ goals

83%

Strindheim 2+ goals

53%

Strindheim 3+ goals

26%

Asker 1+ goals

75%

Asker 2+ goals

40%

Asker 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Strindheim (draw refunded)

61%

Asker (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Strindheim at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.46 · 26 matches

Asker away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.82 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Strindheim attack 1.73 + Asker defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.77

Asker attack 1.29 + Strindheim defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Strindheim scores more

47%

level

23%

Asker scores more

30%

Strindheim at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Strindheim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

29'

41'

42'

44'

53'

A. Reiertsen Angellsen

60'

E. Adukonis← J. Kenyi

68'

E. Hejer

70'

T. Amundsen← V. Kvande

71'

M. Baekken← R. M. Jabari S.

71'

L. Sesay← M. Spiten-Nysaeter

78'

B. Andresen← K. Morkved

79'

F. Lund← G. Lewis

80'

F. Lund

84'

D. Pettersen← Y. Larsen

88'

E. A. Bjaarstad← A. Glosen

88'

N. Saugestad← H. Standal

Strindheim

Asker

30

Hejer

3

▼

Larsen

19

Jorgensen

21

▼

29

7

8

18

▼

Spiten-Ny

27

▼

Kenyi

9

⚽

77

33

3

20

22

55

▼

Standal

4

Valderhau

6

⚽

▼

Glosen

25

▼

Morkved

10

Kosberg

29

⚽

▼

Kvande

44

⚽

▼

Lewis

Manager: P. Rinnan

70'▲T. Amundsen←▼V. Kvande

78'▲B. Andresen←▼K. Morkved

79'▲F. Lund←▼G. Lewis

88'▲E. A. Bjaarstad←▼A. Glosen

88'▲N. Saugestad←▼H. Standal

Strindheim substitutes

99Rekstad-Johnsen8Lund11Johansen17Andresen18Bjaarstad23Saugestad24Amundsen27Donnem39Kizilirmak

Manager: R. Bredal

60'▲E. Adukonis←▼J. Kenyi

71'▲M. Baekken←▼R. M. Jabari S.

71'▲L. Sesay←▼M. Spiten-Nysaeter

84'▲D. Pettersen←▼Y. Larsen

Asker substitutes

1Normann6Pettersen10Adukonis11Baekken12Heggset20Sesay28Stokke

Match Recap: Strindheim vs Asker

Strindheim beat Asker 4-1 in 2. Division - Group 2 on September 6, 2025.

Goals: V. Kvande (29'), J. Johansen (41'), G. Lewis (42'), A. Glosen (44'), F. Lund (80').

The match was played at Leangen Bolig Arena in Trondheim.

Strindheim vs Asker — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Strindheim vs Asker