Strindheim 2–2 Alta: Result & Stats

Strindheim

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Alta

A. Glosen 86'

J. Kosberg 58'

N. Antonsen 90'

M. Larsen 48'

8/23/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 17Leangen Bolig Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Strindheim53%

×Draw21%

Alta26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StrindheimExpected goals in this matchAlta

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.12

1.45

Strindheim

2.12

Alta

1.45

Strindheim creates 46% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 62 away

1.73

creates per match

1.44

1.46

allows per match

2.50

creates per match

Strindheim

1.73

Alta

1.44

allows per match

Strindheim

1.46

Alta

2.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Strindheim+0.00on par

Alta+0.00on par

Total goals

Over69
Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Strindheim ↓

Alta →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

69%31%3.5

47%53%4.5

28%72%

Double chance

Strindheim or draw

74%

Strindheim or Alta

79%

Draw or Alta

47%

Winning margin

Strindheim wins by 2+

31%

Alta wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Strindheim 1+ goals

88%

Strindheim 2+ goals

62%

Strindheim 3+ goals

35%

Alta 1+ goals

77%

Alta 2+ goals

42%

Alta 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Strindheim (draw refunded)

67%

Alta (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

59%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Strindheim at home — creates 1.73, concedes 1.46 · 26 matches

Alta away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.50 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Strindheim attack 1.73 + Alta defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.12

Alta attack 1.44 + Strindheim defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Strindheim scores more

53%

level

21%

Alta scores more

26%

Strindheim at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Strindheim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

48'

58'

62'

69'

86'

87'

88'

P. Johansen← K. Morkved

90'

N. Antonsen

Strindheim

Alta

29

Honka-Hal

4

Mahlamaki

5

Lamark

12

▼

Skum

16

⚽

32

14

25

10

⚽

Larsen

18

▼

23

99

3

20

22

55

4

6

⚽

Glosen

25

▼

Morkved

10

⚽

Kosberg

23

▼

Lewis

29

Kvande

Manager: P. Rinnan

69'▲B. Feldt←▼G. Lewis

88'▲P. Johansen←▼K. Morkved

Strindheim substitutes

21Hovstein7Saugestad9Feldt11Johansen15Arntsberg17Bjaarstad24Amundsen39Kizilirmak18Gjaerevoll

Manager: M. Duilo

11'▲Z. Bello←▼P. Brekke

87'▲C. Kleiva←▼N. Skum

Alta substitutes

15Kleiva22Bello27Akesson40Solbakken

2. Division - Group 2: Strindheim 2–2 Alta

Strindheim and Alta drew 2-2 in 2. Division - Group 2 on August 23, 2025.

Goals: M. Larsen (48'), J. Kosberg (58'), A. Glosen (86'), N. Antonsen (90').

The match was played at Leangen Bolig Arena in Trondheim.

Strindheim vs Alta — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 2: Strindheim 2–2 Alta