Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Stotfold vs Enfield 1893 — League #933 2026

Stotfold
Stotfold
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Enfield 1893
Enfield 1893
1/31/2026League #933League #933

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Stotfold41%
×Draw23%
Enfield 189336%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stotfold
1.70
Enfield 1893
1.57

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 16 home / 3 away

creates per match

Stotfold
1.06
Enfield 1893
1.33

allows per match

Stotfold
1.81
Enfield 1893
2.33

finishing

Stotfold+0.00on par
Enfield 1893+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stotfold ↓

Enfield 1893 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Stotfold or draw
64%
Stotfold or Enfield 1893
77%
Draw or Enfield 1893
59%

Winning margin

Stotfold wins by 2+
21%
Enfield 1893 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Stotfold 1+ goals
82%
Stotfold 2+ goals
51%
Stotfold 3+ goals
24%
Enfield 1893 1+ goals
79%
Enfield 1893 2+ goals
46%
Enfield 1893 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Stotfold (draw refunded)
54%
Enfield 1893 (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stotfold at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.81 · 16 matches

Enfield 1893 away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stotfold attack 1.06 + Enfield 1893 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.70

Enfield 1893 attack 1.33 + Stotfold defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Stotfold scores more
41%
level
23%
Enfield 1893 scores more
36%

Stotfold at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Stotfold will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Stotfold vs Enfield 1893

Enfield 1893 beat Stotfold 2-1 in League #933 on January 31, 2026.