Stjørdals-Blink 3–0 Alta: Result & Stats

Stjørdals-Blink

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Alta

R. Hermanstad 84'

M. Solheim 81', 29'

5/3/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 5TMT Stadion Sandskogan

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Stjørdals-Blink57%

×Draw20%

Alta23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Stjørdals-BlinkExpected goals in this matchAlta

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

1.41

Stjørdals-Blink

2.29

Alta

1.41

Stjørdals-Blink creates 62% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 62 away

2.07

creates per match

1.44

1.38

allows per match

2.50

creates per match

Stjørdals-Blink

2.07

Alta

1.44

allows per match

Stjørdals-Blink

1.38

Alta

2.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Stjørdals-Blink+0.00on par

Alta+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stjørdals-Blink ↓

Alta →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Stjørdals-Blink or draw

77%

Stjørdals-Blink or Alta

80%

Draw or Alta

43%

Winning margin

Stjørdals-Blink wins by 2+

35%

Alta wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Stjørdals-Blink 1+ goals

90%

Stjørdals-Blink 2+ goals

66%

Stjørdals-Blink 3+ goals

40%

Alta 1+ goals

76%

Alta 2+ goals

41%

Alta 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Stjørdals-Blink (draw refunded)

71%

Alta (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stjørdals-Blink at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.38 · 45 matches

Alta away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.50 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stjørdals-Blink attack 2.07 + Alta defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.29

Alta attack 1.44 + Stjørdals-Blink defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Stjørdals-Blink scores more

57%

level

20%

Alta scores more

23%

Stjørdals-Blink at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Stjørdals-Blink will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

29'

M. Solheim

62'

G. Akesson← M. Opgard

67'

K. Rolstad← E. Vangen

67'

J. Havig← A. Kvalvik

79'

K. Holsbo← J. Lamark

79'

P. Eriksson← G. Olsen

81'

M. Solheim

84'

R. Hermanstad

85'

A. Bartel← T. Pedersen

89'

M. Skjevik← J. Strand

89'

Y. Kahsay← M. Solheim

Stjørdals-Blink

Alta

29

Honka-Hal

5

▼

30

16

32

8

▼

Olsen

14

Jacobsen

33

▼

10

18

23

1

4

16

19

▼

Pedersen

22

▼

Vangen

8

Stuen

23

Einarson

7

⚽2

▼

Solheim

11

⚽

Hermansta

24

▼

Strand

26

▼

Kvalvik

Manager: M. Eriksson

67'▲K. Rolstad←▼E. Vangen

67'▲J. Havig←▼A. Kvalvik

85'▲A. Bartel←▼T. Pedersen

89'▲M. Skjevik←▼J. Strand

89'▲Y. Kahsay←▼M. Solheim

Stjørdals-Blink substitutes

12Meidal2Rolstad3Skjevik5Holm15Kahsay17Bartel18Havig25Hussein30Okenge

Manager: M. Duilo

62'▲G. Akesson←▼M. Opgard

79'▲K. Holsbo←▼J. Lamark

79'▲P. Eriksson←▼G. Olsen

Alta substitutes

34Arnason17Degerstrom25Holsbo27Akesson45Eriksson

Match Recap: Stjørdals-Blink vs Alta

Stjørdals-Blink beat Alta 3-0 in 2. Division - Group 2 on May 3, 2025.

Goals: M. Solheim (29', 81'), R. Hermanstad (84').

The match was played at TMT Stadion Sandskogan in Stjørdal.

Stjørdals-Blink vs Alta — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Stjørdals-Blink vs Alta