Stepojevac Vaga 0–0 OFK Vršac: Result & Stats

Stepojevac Vaga

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

OFK Vršac

3/13/2026

Prva Liga · Round 27Stadion Bezanija

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Stepojevac Vaga39%

×Draw29%

OFK Vršac31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Stepojevac VagaExpected goals in this matchOFK Vršac

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

1.00

Stepojevac Vaga

1.15

OFK Vršac

1.00

Stepojevac Vaga creates 15% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 73 away

0.95

creates per match

0.89

1.11

allows per match

1.34

creates per match

Stepojevac Vaga

0.95

OFK Vršac

0.89

allows per match

Stepojevac Vaga

1.11

OFK Vršac

1.34

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Stepojevac Vaga+0.00on par

OFK Vršac+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stepojevac Vaga ↓

OFK Vršac →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Stepojevac Vaga or draw

69%

Stepojevac Vaga or OFK Vršac

71%

Draw or OFK Vršac

61%

Winning margin

Stepojevac Vaga wins by 2+

16%

OFK Vršac wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Stepojevac Vaga 1+ goals

68%

Stepojevac Vaga 2+ goals

32%

Stepojevac Vaga 3+ goals

11%

OFK Vršac 1+ goals

63%

OFK Vršac 2+ goals

26%

OFK Vršac 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Stepojevac Vaga (draw refunded)

55%

OFK Vršac (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stepojevac Vaga at home — creates 0.95, concedes 1.11 · 19 matches

OFK Vršac away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.34 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stepojevac Vaga attack 0.95 + OFK Vršac defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.15

OFK Vršac attack 0.89 + Stepojevac Vaga defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Stepojevac Vaga scores more

39%

level

29%

OFK Vršac scores more

31%

Stepojevac Vaga at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Stepojevac Vaga will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

27'

A. Cvetkovic

62'

S. Bastaja

65'

L. Krstovic← T. Todorovic

71'

A. Popov← M. Milivojevic

71'

M. Bajic← L. Serdar

73'

A. Vuletic← V. Milosavljev

73'

O. Smith← M. Bakic

81'

U. Stevancevic← M. Grek

84'

G. Konyaev

86'

S. Popovic

88'

M. Jovic← A. Cvetkovic

88'

E. Atem←

90+6'

A. Stankovic

Stepojevac

OFK

12

Stankovic

3

Petronije

5

Nikolic

7

▼

Grek

8

Kikovic

9

▼

17

23

28

31

▼

32

40

2

5

▼

Cvetkovic

9

Mitic

11

▼

Todorovic

16

Nolasco

20

▼

Milosavlj

27

▼

29

33

35

Manager: Goran Dragoljic

65'▲L. Krstovic←▼T. Todorovic

73'▲A. Vuletic←▼V. Milosavljev

73'▲O. Smith←▼M. Bakic

88'▲M. Jovic←▼A. Cvetkovic

Stepojevac Vaga substitutes

12Terzic3Djukovic8Savic10Arsic13Konyaev15Vucicevic17Vuletic21Smith22Krstovic23Jovic32Onowakpo

Manager: Miljan Djurovic

71'▲A. Popov←▼M. Milivojevic

71'▲M. Bajic←▼L. Serdar

81'▲U. Stevancevic←▼M. Grek

88'▲E. Atem←▼—

OFK Vršac substitutes

1Djulcic11Popov14Stevancevic15Ocomatchia16Barac25Atem29Bajic

Prva Liga: Stepojevac Vaga 0–0 OFK Vršac

Stepojevac Vaga and OFK Vršac drew 0-0 in Prva Liga on March 13, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion Bezanija in Belgrade.

Stepojevac Vaga vs OFK Vršac — Prva Liga 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Prva Liga: Stepojevac Vaga 0–0 OFK Vršac