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Stadlau vs Austria XIII — Landesliga - Wien 2019

Stadlau
Stadlau
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Austria XIII
Austria XIII
5/8/2026Landesliga - WienLandesliga - Wien · Wien - 25OMV-Sportanlage Stadlau

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Stadlau42%
×Draw24%
Austria XIII34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stadlau
1.67
Austria XIII
1.47

Stadlau creates 14% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 75 away

creates per match

Stadlau
1.42
Austria XIII
1.52

allows per match

Stadlau
1.42
Austria XIII
1.93

finishing

Stadlau+0.00on par
Austria XIII+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stadlau ↓

Austria XIII →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Stadlau or draw
66%
Stadlau or Austria XIII
76%
Draw or Austria XIII
58%

Winning margin

Stadlau wins by 2+
22%
Austria XIII wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Stadlau 1+ goals
81%
Stadlau 2+ goals
50%
Stadlau 3+ goals
23%
Austria XIII 1+ goals
77%
Austria XIII 2+ goals
43%
Austria XIII 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Stadlau (draw refunded)
56%
Austria XIII (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stadlau at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.42 · 74 matches

Austria XIII away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.93 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stadlau attack 1.42 + Austria XIII defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.67

Austria XIII attack 1.52 + Stadlau defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Stadlau scores more
42%
level
24%
Austria XIII scores more
34%

Stadlau at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Stadlau will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Stadlau vs Austria XIII

Stadlau and Austria XIII drew 1-1 in Landesliga - Wien on May 8, 2026.

The match was played at OMV-Sportanlage Stadlau in Wien.