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Stadeln vs Eintracht Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Stadeln
Stadeln
Preview
13:00
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
11/21/2026Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 20
45%
Eintracht Bamberg
model favours
33%22%45%

Eintracht Bamberg raise their game against the top half — 56% wins vs the upper half, only 50% vs the lower

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
68%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Stadeln33%
×Draw22%
Eintracht Bamberg45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stadeln
1.60
Eintracht Bamberg
1.88

Eintracht Bamberg creates 17% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 33 away

creates per match

Stadeln
1.94
Eintracht Bamberg
1.70

allows per match

Stadeln
2.06
Eintracht Bamberg
1.27

finishing

Stadeln+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stadeln ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Stadeln or draw
55%
Stadeln or Eintracht Bamberg
78%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
67%

Winning margin

Stadeln wins by 2+
16%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Stadeln 1+ goals
80%
Stadeln 2+ goals
47%
Stadeln 3+ goals
22%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
85%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
56%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Stadeln (draw refunded)
43%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stadeln at home — creates 1.94, concedes 2.06 · 16 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.27 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stadeln attack 1.94 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.60

Eintracht Bamberg attack 1.70 + Stadeln defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 1.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Stadeln scores more
33%
level
22%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
45%

Eintracht Bamberg at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Eintracht Bamberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Stadeln sit 15, Eintracht Bamberg 5 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Stadeln
DDLW
Bamberg
LWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Stadeln host Eintracht Bamberg

November 21, 2026: Stadeln take on Eintracht Bamberg in Oberliga - Bayern Nord. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.