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Eintracht Bamberg vs Stadeln — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Stadeln
Stadeln
3/21/2026Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 25Fuchs-Park-Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Eintracht Bamberg66%
×Draw19%
Stadeln14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Eintracht Bamberg
2.17
Stadeln
0.90

Eintracht Bamberg creates 141% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 17 away

creates per match

Eintracht Bamberg
2.21
Stadeln
0.88

allows per match

Eintracht Bamberg
0.91
Stadeln
2.12

finishing

Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par
Stadeln+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Eintracht Bamberg ↓

Stadeln →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Eintracht Bamberg or draw
86%
Eintracht Bamberg or Stadeln
81%
Draw or Stadeln
34%

Winning margin

Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
42%
Stadeln wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
89%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
64%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
36%
Stadeln 1+ goals
59%
Stadeln 2+ goals
23%
Stadeln 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
82%
Stadeln (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Eintracht Bamberg at home — creates 2.21, concedes 0.91 · 33 matches

Stadeln away — creates 0.88, concedes 2.12 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Eintracht Bamberg attack 2.21 + Stadeln defence 2.12 → ÷2 → 2.17

Stadeln attack 0.88 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Eintracht Bamberg scores more
66%
level
19%
Stadeln scores more
14%

Eintracht Bamberg at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Eintracht Bamberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Bayern Nord: Eintracht Bamberg 2–0 Stadeln

Eintracht Bamberg beat Stadeln 2-0 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on March 21, 2026.

The match was played at Fuchs-Park-Stadion in Bamberg.