Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

St. Andrew Lions vs Pride of Gall Hill — Premier League 2026

St. Andrew Lions
St. Andrew Lions
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Pride of Gall Hill
Pride of Gall Hill
3/17/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 10

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

St. Andrew Lions32%
×Draw22%
Pride of Gall Hill47%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

St. Andrew Lions
1.63
Pride of Gall Hill
2.00

Pride of Gall Hill creates 23% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 18 away

creates per match

St. Andrew Lions
1.36
Pride of Gall Hill
0.72

allows per match

St. Andrew Lions
3.29
Pride of Gall Hill
1.89

finishing

St. Andrew Lions+0.00on par
Pride of Gall Hill+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

St. Andrew Lions ↓

Pride of Gall Hill →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

St. Andrew Lions or draw
53%
St. Andrew Lions or Pride of Gall Hill
78%
Draw or Pride of Gall Hill
68%

Winning margin

St. Andrew Lions wins by 2+
15%
Pride of Gall Hill wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

St. Andrew Lions 1+ goals
80%
St. Andrew Lions 2+ goals
48%
St. Andrew Lions 3+ goals
22%
Pride of Gall Hill 1+ goals
86%
Pride of Gall Hill 2+ goals
59%
Pride of Gall Hill 3+ goals
32%

Draw no bet

St. Andrew Lions (draw refunded)
41%
Pride of Gall Hill (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

St. Andrew Lions at home — creates 1.36, concedes 3.29 · 14 matches

Pride of Gall Hill away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.89 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

St. Andrew Lions attack 1.36 + Pride of Gall Hill defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.63

Pride of Gall Hill attack 0.72 + St. Andrew Lions defence 3.29 → ÷2 → 2.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

St. Andrew Lions scores more
32%
level
22%
Pride of Gall Hill scores more
47%

Pride of Gall Hill at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Pride of Gall Hill will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: St. Andrew Lions 1–1 Pride of Gall Hill

St. Andrew Lions and Pride of Gall Hill drew 1-1 in Premier League on March 17, 2026.