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SSV Jeddeloh vs SV Meppen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

SSV Jeddeloh
SSV Jeddeloh
Canc
12:00
SV Meppen
SV Meppen
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Kunstrasenplatz Edewecht B-Platz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

SSV Jeddeloh39%
×Draw21%
SV Meppen41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SSV Jeddeloh
2.03
SV Meppen
2.09

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 10 home / 9 away

creates per match

SSV Jeddeloh
2.50
SV Meppen
1.78

allows per match

SSV Jeddeloh
2.40
SV Meppen
1.56

finishing

SSV Jeddeloh+0.00on par
SV Meppen+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SSV Jeddeloh ↓

SV Meppen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

SSV Jeddeloh or draw
59%
SSV Jeddeloh or SV Meppen
79%
Draw or SV Meppen
61%

Winning margin

SSV Jeddeloh wins by 2+
21%
SV Meppen wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

SSV Jeddeloh 1+ goals
87%
SSV Jeddeloh 2+ goals
60%
SSV Jeddeloh 3+ goals
33%
SV Meppen 1+ goals
88%
SV Meppen 2+ goals
62%
SV Meppen 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

SSV Jeddeloh (draw refunded)
49%
SV Meppen (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SSV Jeddeloh at home — creates 2.50, concedes 2.40 · 10 matches

SV Meppen away — creates 1.78, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SSV Jeddeloh attack 2.50 + SV Meppen defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 2.03

SV Meppen attack 1.78 + SSV Jeddeloh defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

SSV Jeddeloh scores more
39%
level
21%
SV Meppen scores more
41%

SV Meppen at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "SV Meppen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SSV Jeddeloh host SV Meppen

January 20, 2024: SSV Jeddeloh take on SV Meppen in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

SSV Jeddeloh host SV Meppen at Kunstrasenplatz Edewecht B-Platz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.