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SSV Jeddeloh vs Kickers EmdenFriendlies Clubs 2026

1/19/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Kunstrasenplatz Edewecht B-Platz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

SSV Jeddeloh50%
×Draw19%
Kickers Emden31%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SSV Jeddeloh
2.65
Kickers Emden
2.10

SSV Jeddeloh creates 26% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 5 away

creates per match

SSV Jeddeloh
2.50
Kickers Emden
1.80

allows per match

SSV Jeddeloh
2.40
Kickers Emden
2.80

finishing

SSV Jeddeloh+0.00on par
Kickers Emden+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

81%Yes
  • Yes81
  • No19

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SSV Jeddeloh

Kickers Emden
0
1
2
3
4
0
001%
012%
022%
031%
041%
1
102%
115%
125%
134%
142%
2
203%
217%
227%
235%
243%
3
303%
316%
326%
334%
342%
4
402%
414%
424%
433%
441%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
50%50%

Double chance

SSV Jeddeloh or draw
69%
SSV Jeddeloh or Kickers Emden
81%
Draw or Kickers Emden
50%

Winning margin

SSV Jeddeloh wins by 2+
31%
Kickers Emden wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

SSV Jeddeloh 1+ goals
93%
SSV Jeddeloh 2+ goals
74%
SSV Jeddeloh 3+ goals
48%
Kickers Emden 1+ goals
88%
Kickers Emden 2+ goals
62%
Kickers Emden 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

SSV Jeddeloh (draw refunded)
61%
Kickers Emden (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
76%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SSV Jeddeloh at homecreates 2.50, concedes 2.40 · 10 matches

Kickers Emden awaycreates 1.80, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SSV Jeddeloh attack 2.50 + Kickers Emden defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.65

Kickers Emden attack 1.80 + SSV Jeddeloh defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

SSV Jeddeloh scores more
50%
level
19%
Kickers Emden scores more
31%

SSV Jeddeloh at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "SSV Jeddeloh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SSV Jeddeloh host Kickers Emden

January 19, 2024: SSV Jeddeloh take on Kickers Emden in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

SSV Jeddeloh host Kickers Emden at Kunstrasenplatz Edewecht B-Platz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.