Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Spartak Plovdiv vs Sekirovo Rakovski — Third League - Southeast 2018

Spartak Plovdiv
Spartak Plovdiv
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Sekirovo Rakovski
Sekirovo Rakovski
4/1/2026Third League - SoutheastThird League - Southeast · Southeast - 27

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Spartak Plovdiv70%
×Draw17%
Sekirovo Rakovski12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Spartak Plovdiv
2.40
Sekirovo Rakovski
0.90

Spartak Plovdiv creates 167% more chances

Season form · 92 home / 56 away

creates per match

Spartak Plovdiv
2.72
Sekirovo Rakovski
0.93

allows per match

Spartak Plovdiv
0.86
Sekirovo Rakovski
2.07

finishing

Spartak Plovdiv+0.00on par
Sekirovo Rakovski+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Spartak Plovdiv ↓

Sekirovo Rakovski →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Spartak Plovdiv or draw
88%
Spartak Plovdiv or Sekirovo Rakovski
83%
Draw or Sekirovo Rakovski
30%

Winning margin

Spartak Plovdiv wins by 2+
47%
Sekirovo Rakovski wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Spartak Plovdiv 1+ goals
91%
Spartak Plovdiv 2+ goals
69%
Spartak Plovdiv 3+ goals
42%
Sekirovo Rakovski 1+ goals
59%
Sekirovo Rakovski 2+ goals
23%
Sekirovo Rakovski 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Spartak Plovdiv (draw refunded)
85%
Sekirovo Rakovski (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Spartak Plovdiv at home — creates 2.72, concedes 0.86 · 92 matches

Sekirovo Rakovski away — creates 0.93, concedes 2.07 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Spartak Plovdiv attack 2.72 + Sekirovo Rakovski defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.40

Sekirovo Rakovski attack 0.93 + Spartak Plovdiv defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Spartak Plovdiv scores more
70%
level
17%
Sekirovo Rakovski scores more
12%

Spartak Plovdiv at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Spartak Plovdiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Third League - Southeast: Spartak Plovdiv 0–0 Sekirovo Rakovski

Spartak Plovdiv and Sekirovo Rakovski drew 0-0 in Third League - Southeast on April 1, 2026.