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Spartak Myjava vs Ruh Brest — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Spartak Myjava
Spartak Myjava
FT
1 – 4
Ruh Brest
Ruh Brest
3/1/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Titanic Sports Center - Field 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Spartak Myjava36%
×Draw23%
Ruh Brest41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Spartak Myjava
1.63
Ruh Brest
1.75

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Spartak Myjava
2.50
Ruh Brest
2.00

allows per match

Spartak Myjava
1.50
Ruh Brest
0.75

finishing

Spartak Myjava+0.00on par
Ruh Brest+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Spartak Myjava ↓

Ruh Brest →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Spartak Myjava or draw
59%
Spartak Myjava or Ruh Brest
77%
Draw or Ruh Brest
64%

Winning margin

Spartak Myjava wins by 2+
18%
Ruh Brest wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Spartak Myjava 1+ goals
80%
Spartak Myjava 2+ goals
48%
Spartak Myjava 3+ goals
22%
Ruh Brest 1+ goals
83%
Ruh Brest 2+ goals
52%
Ruh Brest 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Spartak Myjava (draw refunded)
47%
Ruh Brest (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Spartak Myjava at home — creates 2.50, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Ruh Brest away — creates 2.00, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Spartak Myjava attack 2.50 + Ruh Brest defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.63

Ruh Brest attack 2.00 + Spartak Myjava defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Spartak Myjava scores more
36%
level
23%
Ruh Brest scores more
41%

Ruh Brest at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Ruh Brest will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Spartak Myjava vs Ruh Brest

Ruh Brest beat Spartak Myjava 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on March 1, 2020.

The match was played at Titanic Sports Center - Field 1 in Belek.