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South Shields vs King's Lynn Town — League #50 2026

South Shields
South Shields
Preview
15:00
King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn Town
12/5/2026League #50League #50 · National League North - 20
42%
South Shields
model favours
42%26%32%

South Shields score first in only 26% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
54%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

South Shields42%
×Draw26%
King's Lynn Town32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

South Shields
1.45
King's Lynn Town
1.24

South Shields creates 17% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 7 away

creates per match

South Shields
1.90
King's Lynn Town
1.57

allows per match

South Shields
0.90
King's Lynn Town
1.00

finishing

South Shields+0.00on par
King's Lynn Town+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

South Shields ↓

King's Lynn Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

South Shields or draw
68%
South Shields or King's Lynn Town
74%
Draw or King's Lynn Town
58%

Winning margin

South Shields wins by 2+
20%
King's Lynn Town wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

South Shields 1+ goals
77%
South Shields 2+ goals
42%
South Shields 3+ goals
18%
King's Lynn Town 1+ goals
71%
King's Lynn Town 2+ goals
35%
King's Lynn Town 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

South Shields (draw refunded)
56%
King's Lynn Town (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

South Shields at home — creates 1.90, concedes 0.90 · 29 matches

King's Lynn Town away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

South Shields attack 1.90 + King's Lynn Town defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.45

King's Lynn Town attack 1.57 + South Shields defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

South Shields scores more
42%
level
26%
King's Lynn Town scores more
32%

South Shields at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "South Shields will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • South Shields win just 33% against the top half (vs 71% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Shields
LDLWL
Town
LWLWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

South Shields face King's Lynn Town (League #50)

League #50 returns with South Shields hosting King's Lynn Town. Match starts December 5, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.