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King's Lynn Town vs South Shields — League #50 2026

King's Lynn Town
King's Lynn Town
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
South Shields
South Shields
C. Ubaezuonu 60'
M. Williams 44'
B. Forbes 13'
3/17/2026League #50League #50 · North - 33The Walks

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

King's Lynn Town43%
×Draw24%
South Shields33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

King's Lynn Town
1.65
South Shields
1.42

King's Lynn Town creates 16% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 28 away

creates per match

King's Lynn Town
1.83
South Shields
1.50

allows per match

King's Lynn Town
1.33
South Shields
1.46

finishing

King's Lynn Town+0.00on par
South Shields+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

King's Lynn Town ↓

South Shields →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

King's Lynn Town or draw
67%
King's Lynn Town or South Shields
76%
Draw or South Shields
57%

Winning margin

King's Lynn Town wins by 2+
22%
South Shields wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

King's Lynn Town 1+ goals
81%
King's Lynn Town 2+ goals
49%
King's Lynn Town 3+ goals
23%
South Shields 1+ goals
76%
South Shields 2+ goals
41%
South Shields 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

King's Lynn Town (draw refunded)
57%
South Shields (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

King's Lynn Town at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

South Shields away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.46 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

King's Lynn Town attack 1.83 + South Shields defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.65

South Shields attack 1.50 + King's Lynn Town defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

King's Lynn Town scores more
43%
level
24%
South Shields scores more
33%

King's Lynn Town at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "King's Lynn Town will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
B. Forbes
44'
M. Williams
60'
C. Ubaezuonu

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: King's Lynn Town vs South Shields

King's Lynn Town beat South Shields 3-0 in League #50 on March 17, 2026.

Goals: B. Forbes (13'), M. Williams (44'), C. Ubaezuonu (60').

The match was played at The Walks in King's Lynn, Norfolk.