Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

South East Utd. U21 vs South Hobart II — Tasmania Southern Championship 2026

South East Utd. U21
South East Utd. U21
FT
8 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
South Hobart II
South Hobart II
5/25/2024Tasmania Southern ChampionshipTasmania Southern Championship · Round 8South East Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

South East Utd. U2164%
×Draw15%
South Hobart II20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

South East Utd. U21
3.62
South Hobart II
2.08

South East Utd. U21 creates 74% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 27 away

creates per match

South East Utd. U21
5.13
South Hobart II
2.59

allows per match

South East Utd. U21
1.58
South Hobart II
2.11

finishing

South East Utd. U21+0.00on par
South Hobart II+0.00on par

Total goals

92%Over
  • Over92
  • Under8

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

85%Yes
  • Yes85
  • No15

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

South East Utd. U21 ↓

South Hobart II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–00%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–01%
1–13%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–25%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–26%
4–34%
4–42%

Most likely 3–1 (6%) · grid covers 72% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
100%0%1.5
98%2%2.5
92%8%3.5
80%20%4.5
64%36%

Double chance

South East Utd. U21 or draw
80%
South East Utd. U21 or South Hobart II
85%
Draw or South Hobart II
36%

Winning margin

South East Utd. U21 wins by 2+
46%
South Hobart II wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

South East Utd. U21 1+ goals
97%
South East Utd. U21 2+ goals
87%
South East Utd. U21 3+ goals
68%
South Hobart II 1+ goals
87%
South Hobart II 2+ goals
61%
South Hobart II 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

South East Utd. U21 (draw refunded)
76%
South Hobart II (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
82%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

South East Utd. U21 at home — creates 5.13, concedes 1.58 · 24 matches

South Hobart II away — creates 2.59, concedes 2.11 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

South East Utd. U21 attack 5.13 + South Hobart II defence 2.11 → ÷2 → 3.62

South Hobart II attack 2.59 + South East Utd. U21 defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

South East Utd. U21 scores more
64%
level
15%
South Hobart II scores more
20%

South East Utd. U21 at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "South East Utd. U21 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tasmania Southern Championship: South East Utd. U21 8–0 South Hobart II

South East Utd. U21 beat South Hobart II 8-0 in Tasmania Southern Championship on May 25, 2024.

The match was played at South East Stadium in Sorell.