South Africa 0–0 Tanzania: Result & Stats

South Africa

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Tanzania

6/6/2025

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Peter Mokaba Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

South Africa56%

×Draw26%

Tanzania17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

South AfricaExpected goals in this matchTanzania

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

0.68

South Africa

1.48

Tanzania

0.68

South Africa creates 118% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 12 away

1.37

creates per match

0.67

0.68

allows per match

1.58

creates per match

South Africa

1.37

Tanzania

0.67

allows per match

South Africa

0.68

Tanzania

1.58

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

South Africa+0.00on par

Tanzania+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

South Africa ↓

Tanzania →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

South Africa or draw

83%

South Africa or Tanzania

74%

Draw or Tanzania

44%

Winning margin

South Africa wins by 2+

29%

Tanzania wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

South Africa 1+ goals

77%

South Africa 2+ goals

43%

South Africa 3+ goals

19%

Tanzania 1+ goals

49%

Tanzania 2+ goals

15%

Tanzania 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

South Africa (draw refunded)

77%

Tanzania (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

South Africa at home — creates 1.37, concedes 0.68 · 19 matches

Tanzania away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.58 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

South Africa attack 1.37 + Tanzania defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.48

Tanzania attack 0.67 + South Africa defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

South Africa scores more

56%

level

26%

Tanzania scores more

17%

South Africa at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "South Africa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

Fawaaz Basadien

South Africa · D

7.9

Match Events

28'

Denis Kibu← Denis Kibu

46'

Selemani Mwalimu← Selemani Mwalimu

63'

Renaldo Leaner← Ricardo Goss

63'

Alphonce Msanga← Ahmed Pipino

64'

Mohamed Husseini← Simon Msuva

68'

Yusuph Kagoma

68'

Mohau Nkota← Tshepang Moremi

68'

Sinoxolo Kwayiba← Patrick Maswanganyi

69'

Relebohile Mofokeng← Oswin Appollis

84'

Luke Le Roux← Thalente Mbatha

86'

Ibrahim Ame← Dickson Job

86'

Shekhani Khamis← Mishamo Daudi

87'

Khulumani Ndamane

90+5'

Mohamed Husseini

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SouthTanzania

Overview

62%Possession38%

11Total Shots4

2Corners0

16Fouls8

Shots

11Total Shots4

2On Target2

5Off Target2

4Blocked0

1Inside Box1

10Outside Box3

Passing

62%Possession38%

610Total Passes378

534Accurate Passes304

88%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls8

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1