Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Soroksar vs Gyori ETO FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Soroksar
Soroksar
FT
1 – 0
Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
7/15/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Soroksar23%
×Draw25%
Gyori ETO FC52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Soroksar
0.94
Gyori ETO FC
1.57

Gyori ETO FC creates 67% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Soroksar
0.88
Gyori ETO FC
1.40

allows per match

Soroksar
1.75
Gyori ETO FC
1.00

finishing

Soroksar+0.00on par
Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Soroksar ↓

Gyori ETO FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–113%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Soroksar or draw
48%
Soroksar or Gyori ETO FC
75%
Draw or Gyori ETO FC
77%

Winning margin

Soroksar wins by 2+
8%
Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Soroksar 1+ goals
61%
Soroksar 2+ goals
24%
Soroksar 3+ goals
7%
Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
79%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
46%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Soroksar (draw refunded)
30%
Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Soroksar at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.75 · 8 matches

Gyori ETO FC away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Soroksar attack 0.88 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.94

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.40 + Soroksar defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Soroksar scores more
23%
level
25%
Gyori ETO FC scores more
52%

Gyori ETO FC at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Gyori ETO FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Soroksar vs Gyori ETO FC

Soroksar beat Gyori ETO FC 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 15, 2020.