Songkhla 0–1 Nakhon Si Thammarat: Result & Stats

Songkhla

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Nakhon Si Thammarat

4/19/2026

Thai League 2 · Round 33Tinsulanonda Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Songkhla56%

×Draw25%

Nakhon Si Thammarat19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SongkhlaExpected goals in this matchNakhon Si Thammarat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

0.84

Songkhla

1.63

Nakhon Si Thammarat

0.84

Songkhla creates 94% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 69 away

1.53

creates per match

0.97

0.71

allows per match

1.72

creates per match

Songkhla

1.53

Nakhon Si Thammarat

0.97

allows per match

Songkhla

0.71

Nakhon Si Thammarat

1.72

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Songkhla+0.00on par

Nakhon Si Thammarat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Songkhla ↓

Nakhon Si Thammarat →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Songkhla or draw

81%

Songkhla or Nakhon Si Thammarat

75%

Draw or Nakhon Si Thammarat

44%

Winning margin

Songkhla wins by 2+

30%

Nakhon Si Thammarat wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Songkhla 1+ goals

80%

Songkhla 2+ goals

48%

Songkhla 3+ goals

22%

Nakhon Si Thammarat 1+ goals

57%

Nakhon Si Thammarat 2+ goals

21%

Nakhon Si Thammarat 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Songkhla (draw refunded)

74%

Nakhon Si Thammarat (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Songkhla at home — creates 1.53, concedes 0.71 · 17 matches

Nakhon Si Thammarat away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.72 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Songkhla attack 1.53 + Nakhon Si Thammarat defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.63

Nakhon Si Thammarat attack 0.97 + Songkhla defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.84

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Songkhla scores more

56%

level

25%

Nakhon Si Thammarat scores more

19%

Songkhla at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Songkhla will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Thai League 2: Songkhla 0–1 Nakhon Si Thammarat

Nakhon Si Thammarat beat Songkhla 1-0 in Thai League 2 on April 19, 2026.

The match was played at Tinsulanonda Stadium.

Songkhla vs Nakhon Si Thammarat — Thai League 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Thai League 2: Songkhla 0–1 Nakhon Si Thammarat