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Solihull Moors W vs West Bromwich Albion W — FA Women's Cup 2019

Solihull Moors W
Solihull Moors W
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 0
West Bromwich Albion W
West Bromwich Albion W
10/26/2025FA Women's CupFA Women's Cup · 1st Round

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Solihull Moors W16%
×Draw15%
West Bromwich Albion W69%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Solihull Moors W
1.56
West Bromwich Albion W
3.25

West Bromwich Albion W creates 108% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 8 away

creates per match

Solihull Moors W
1.50
West Bromwich Albion W
3.75

allows per match

Solihull Moors W
2.75
West Bromwich Albion W
1.63

finishing

Solihull Moors W+0.00on par
West Bromwich Albion W+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Solihull Moors W ↓

West Bromwich Albion W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–25%
0–35%
0–44%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–27%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–26%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–33%
3–43%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–3 (8%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
50%50%

Double chance

Solihull Moors W or draw
31%
Solihull Moors W or West Bromwich Albion W
85%
Draw or West Bromwich Albion W
84%

Winning margin

Solihull Moors W wins by 2+
7%
West Bromwich Albion W wins by 2+
50%

Team goals

Solihull Moors W 1+ goals
79%
Solihull Moors W 2+ goals
46%
Solihull Moors W 3+ goals
21%
West Bromwich Albion W 1+ goals
96%
West Bromwich Albion W 2+ goals
83%
West Bromwich Albion W 3+ goals
61%

Draw no bet

Solihull Moors W (draw refunded)
19%
West Bromwich Albion W (draw refunded)
81%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
71%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Solihull Moors W at home — creates 1.50, concedes 2.75 · 4 matches

West Bromwich Albion W away — creates 3.75, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Solihull Moors W attack 1.50 + West Bromwich Albion W defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.56

West Bromwich Albion W attack 3.75 + Solihull Moors W defence 2.75 → ÷2 → 3.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Solihull Moors W scores more
16%
level
15%
West Bromwich Albion W scores more
69%

West Bromwich Albion W at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "West Bromwich Albion W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FA Women's Cup: Solihull Moors W 0–3 West Bromwich Albion W

West Bromwich Albion W beat Solihull Moors W 3-0 in FA Women's Cup on October 26, 2025.