Sochaux 4–1 Laval: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Sochaux

FT

4 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Laval

M. Do Couto 83'

T. Mauricio 81'

M. Doumbia 72'

G. Weissbeck 45+2'

J. Maggiotti 29'

9/2/2022

Ligue 2 · Round 7Stade Auguste-Bonal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 93+ matches

Sochaux44%

×Draw29%

Laval27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SochauxExpected goals in this matchLaval

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

0.94

Sochaux

1.27

Laval

0.94

Sochaux creates 35% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 97 away

1.25

creates per match

0.94

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Sochaux

1.25

Laval

0.94

allows per match

Sochaux

0.94

Laval

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sochaux+0.00on par

Laval+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sochaux ↓

Laval →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Sochaux or draw

73%

Sochaux or Laval

71%

Draw or Laval

56%

Winning margin

Sochaux wins by 2+

20%

Laval wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Sochaux 1+ goals

72%

Sochaux 2+ goals

36%

Sochaux 3+ goals

14%

Laval 1+ goals

61%

Laval 2+ goals

24%

Laval 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Sochaux (draw refunded)

62%

Laval (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sochaux at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.94 · 93 matches

Laval away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.30 · 97 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sochaux attack 1.25 + Laval defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.27

Laval attack 0.94 + Sochaux defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Sochaux scores more

44%

level

29%

Laval scores more

27%

Sochaux at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Sochaux will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

T. Mauricio

Sochaux · M

8.9

Match Events

29'

J. Maggiotti↳ R. Duterte

35'

39'

39'

45'

45+2'

G. Weissbeck↳ T. Mauricio

60'

I. Sissoko← R. Ndiaye

62'

K. N'Chobi← Z. Naidji

69'

M. Do Couto← A. Kalulu

72'

M. Doumbia↳ J. Faussurier

77'

Maxime Do Couto

77'

K. Perrot← D. Sylla

77'

G. Durbant← J. Adéoti

81'

T. Mauricio

83'

M. Do Couto↳ I. Sissoko

84'

Julien Maggiotti

85'

M. Baudry← Yohan Tavares

85'

E. Seidou← J. Maggiotti

88'

S. Alvero← G. Weissbeck

88'

R. Pereira De Sa← M. Doumbia

89'

Y. Armougom← A. Ndour

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SochauxLaval

Overview

69%Possession31%

23Total Shots12

11Corners6

14Fouls10

Shots

23Total Shots12

7On Target4

2Off Target7

14Blocked1

16Inside Box6

7Outside Box6

Passing

69%Possession31%

541Total Passes236

465Accurate Passes172

86%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

14Fouls10

2Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

2Offsides2

Sochaux 4 – 1 Laval

Sochaux beat Laval 4-1 in Ligue 2 on September 2, 2022.

Goals: J. Maggiotti (29'), G. Weissbeck (45+2'), M. Doumbia (72'), T. Mauricio (81'), M. Do Couto (83').

Sochaux controlled possession (69%) and registered 23 shots to 12.

The match was played at Stade Auguste-Bonal in Montbéliard.

Sochaux vs Laval — Ligue 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Sochaux 4 – 1 Laval