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Slovan Liberec U19 vs Vysočina Jihlava U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Slovan Liberec U19
Slovan Liberec U19
FT
4 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Vysočina Jihlava U19
Vysočina Jihlava U19
9/27/20251. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 8Městský stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Slovan Liberec U1951%
×Draw20%
Vysočina Jihlava U1928%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Liberec U19
2.28
Vysočina Jihlava U19
1.67

Slovan Liberec U19 creates 37% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 60 away

creates per match

Slovan Liberec U19
2.20
Vysočina Jihlava U19
1.15

allows per match

Slovan Liberec U19
2.18
Vysočina Jihlava U19
2.35

finishing

Slovan Liberec U19+0.00on par
Vysočina Jihlava U19+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Liberec U19 ↓

Vysočina Jihlava U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Slovan Liberec U19 or draw
72%
Slovan Liberec U19 or Vysočina Jihlava U19
80%
Draw or Vysočina Jihlava U19
49%

Winning margin

Slovan Liberec U19 wins by 2+
31%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Slovan Liberec U19 1+ goals
90%
Slovan Liberec U19 2+ goals
66%
Slovan Liberec U19 3+ goals
39%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 1+ goals
81%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 2+ goals
50%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Slovan Liberec U19 (draw refunded)
64%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Liberec U19 at home — creates 2.20, concedes 2.18 · 45 matches

Vysočina Jihlava U19 away — creates 1.15, concedes 2.35 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Liberec U19 attack 2.20 + Vysočina Jihlava U19 defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 2.28

Vysočina Jihlava U19 attack 1.15 + Slovan Liberec U19 defence 2.18 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Slovan Liberec U19 scores more
51%
level
20%
Vysočina Jihlava U19 scores more
28%

Slovan Liberec U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Slovan Liberec U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Liberec U19 vs Vysočina Jihlava U19

Slovan Liberec U19 beat Vysočina Jihlava U19 4-2 in 1. Liga U19 on September 27, 2025.

The match was played at Městský stadion in Liberec.