Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovan Levice vs TEMPO Partizánske — 3. liga - West 2020

Slovan Levice
Slovan Levice
FT
1 – 1
TEMPO Partizánske
TEMPO Partizánske
8/15/20213. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 2Futbalový štadión Levice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Slovan Levice54%
×Draw22%
TEMPO Partizánske23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Levice
1.89
TEMPO Partizánske
1.15

Slovan Levice creates 64% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 17 away

creates per match

Slovan Levice
1.12
TEMPO Partizánske
1.00

allows per match

Slovan Levice
1.29
TEMPO Partizánske
2.65

finishing

Slovan Levice+0.00on par
TEMPO Partizánske+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Levice ↓

TEMPO Partizánske →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Slovan Levice or draw
77%
Slovan Levice or TEMPO Partizánske
78%
Draw or TEMPO Partizánske
46%

Winning margin

Slovan Levice wins by 2+
31%
TEMPO Partizánske wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Slovan Levice 1+ goals
85%
Slovan Levice 2+ goals
56%
Slovan Levice 3+ goals
29%
TEMPO Partizánske 1+ goals
68%
TEMPO Partizánske 2+ goals
32%
TEMPO Partizánske 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Slovan Levice (draw refunded)
70%
TEMPO Partizánske (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Levice at home — creates 1.12, concedes 1.29 · 17 matches

TEMPO Partizánske away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.65 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Levice attack 1.12 + TEMPO Partizánske defence 2.65 → ÷2 → 1.89

TEMPO Partizánske attack 1.00 + Slovan Levice defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Slovan Levice scores more
54%
level
22%
TEMPO Partizánske scores more
23%

Slovan Levice at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Slovan Levice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Levice vs TEMPO Partizánske

Slovan Levice and TEMPO Partizánske drew 1-1 in 3. liga - West on August 15, 2021.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión Levice in Levice.