Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovan Giraltovce vs Raslavice — 3. liga - East 2020

Slovan Giraltovce
Slovan Giraltovce
FT
3 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Raslavice
Raslavice
5/28/20223. liga - East3. liga - East · East - 27Štadión MFK Slovan Giraltovce

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Slovan Giraltovce55%
×Draw22%
Raslavice22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Giraltovce
1.90
Raslavice
1.13

Slovan Giraltovce creates 68% more chances

Season form · 37 home / 28 away

creates per match

Slovan Giraltovce
1.24
Raslavice
1.14

allows per match

Slovan Giraltovce
1.11
Raslavice
2.57

finishing

Slovan Giraltovce+0.00on par
Raslavice+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Giraltovce ↓

Raslavice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Slovan Giraltovce or draw
78%
Slovan Giraltovce or Raslavice
78%
Draw or Raslavice
45%

Winning margin

Slovan Giraltovce wins by 2+
32%
Raslavice wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Slovan Giraltovce 1+ goals
85%
Slovan Giraltovce 2+ goals
56%
Slovan Giraltovce 3+ goals
29%
Raslavice 1+ goals
68%
Raslavice 2+ goals
31%
Raslavice 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Slovan Giraltovce (draw refunded)
71%
Raslavice (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Giraltovce at home — creates 1.24, concedes 1.11 · 37 matches

Raslavice away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.57 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Giraltovce attack 1.24 + Raslavice defence 2.57 → ÷2 → 1.90

Raslavice attack 1.14 + Slovan Giraltovce defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Slovan Giraltovce scores more
55%
level
22%
Raslavice scores more
22%

Slovan Giraltovce at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Slovan Giraltovce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Giraltovce vs Raslavice

Slovan Giraltovce and Raslavice drew 3-3 in 3. liga - East on May 28, 2022.

The match was played at Štadión MFK Slovan Giraltovce in Giraltovce.