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Slovan Duslo Šaľa vs Veľké Ludince — 3. liga - West 2020

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Veľké Ludince
Veľké Ludince
10/4/20253. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 10Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 84+ matches

Slovan Duslo Šaľa60%
×Draw20%
Veľké Ludince19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.13
Veľké Ludince
1.12

Slovan Duslo Šaľa creates 90% more chances

Season form · 85 home / 84 away

creates per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.20
Veľké Ludince
1.00

allows per match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa
1.24
Veľké Ludince
2.07

finishing

Slovan Duslo Šaľa+0.00on par
Veľké Ludince+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Duslo Šaľa ↓

Veľké Ludince →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Slovan Duslo Šaľa or draw
81%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa or Veľké Ludince
80%
Draw or Veľké Ludince
40%

Winning margin

Slovan Duslo Šaľa wins by 2+
37%
Veľké Ludince wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Slovan Duslo Šaľa 1+ goals
88%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 2+ goals
63%
Slovan Duslo Šaľa 3+ goals
35%
Veľké Ludince 1+ goals
67%
Veľké Ludince 2+ goals
31%
Veľké Ludince 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Slovan Duslo Šaľa (draw refunded)
76%
Veľké Ludince (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.24 · 85 matches

Veľké Ludince away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.07 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Duslo Šaľa attack 2.20 + Veľké Ludince defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.13

Veľké Ludince attack 1.00 + Slovan Duslo Šaľa defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Slovan Duslo Šaľa scores more
60%
level
20%
Veľké Ludince scores more
19%

Slovan Duslo Šaľa at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Slovan Duslo Šaľa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. liga - West: Slovan Duslo Šaľa 1–1 Veľké Ludince

Slovan Duslo Šaľa and Veľké Ludince drew 1-1 in 3. liga - West on October 4, 2025.

The match was played at Futbalový štadión FK Slovan Duslo Šaľa in Šaľa.