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Slovan Bratislava vs Senica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
FT
0 – 0
Senica
Senica
5/23/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión Tehelné pole

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Slovan Bratislava57%
×Draw23%
Senica19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava
1.75
Senica
0.90

Slovan Bratislava creates 94% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 4 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava
2.00
Senica
1.00

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava
0.80
Senica
1.50

finishing

Slovan Bratislava+0.00on par
Senica+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava ↓

Senica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava or draw
81%
Slovan Bratislava or Senica
77%
Draw or Senica
43%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava wins by 2+
32%
Senica wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava 1+ goals
83%
Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
52%
Slovan Bratislava 3+ goals
25%
Senica 1+ goals
59%
Senica 2+ goals
23%
Senica 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava (draw refunded)
75%
Senica (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.80 · 10 matches

Senica away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava attack 2.00 + Senica defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Senica attack 1.00 + Slovan Bratislava defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Slovan Bratislava scores more
57%
level
23%
Senica scores more
19%

Slovan Bratislava at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Slovan Bratislava 0–0 Senica

Slovan Bratislava and Senica drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 23, 2020.

The match was played at Štadión Tehelné pole in Bratislava.