Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovan Bratislava vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1/17/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Slovan Bratislava63%
×Draw20%
Lokomotíva Zvolen17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava
2.22
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.06

Slovan Bratislava creates 109% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 9 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava
2.00
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.33

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava
0.80
Lokomotíva Zvolen
2.44

finishing

Slovan Bratislava+0.00on par
Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava or draw
83%
Slovan Bratislava or Lokomotíva Zvolen
80%
Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen
37%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava wins by 2+
40%
Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava 1+ goals
89%
Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
65%
Slovan Bratislava 3+ goals
38%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
65%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
29%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava (draw refunded)
79%
Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.80 · 10 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava attack 2.00 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.22

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.33 + Slovan Bratislava defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Slovan Bratislava scores more
63%
level
20%
Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
17%

Slovan Bratislava at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Bratislava vs Lokomotíva Zvolen

Slovan Bratislava beat Lokomotíva Zvolen 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2026.