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Slovan Bratislava vs Fehérvár FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
FT
2 – 2
Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC
7/28/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Štadión Tehelné pole

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Slovan Bratislava52%
×Draw25%
Fehérvár FC24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava
1.63
Fehérvár FC
1.02

Slovan Bratislava creates 60% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 12 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava
2.00
Fehérvár FC
1.25

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava
0.80
Fehérvár FC
1.25

finishing

Slovan Bratislava+0.00on par
Fehérvár FC+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava ↓

Fehérvár FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava or draw
76%
Slovan Bratislava or Fehérvár FC
75%
Draw or Fehérvár FC
48%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava wins by 2+
27%
Fehérvár FC wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava 1+ goals
80%
Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
48%
Slovan Bratislava 3+ goals
22%
Fehérvár FC 1+ goals
64%
Fehérvár FC 2+ goals
27%
Fehérvár FC 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava (draw refunded)
68%
Fehérvár FC (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.80 · 10 matches

Fehérvár FC away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava attack 2.00 + Fehérvár FC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.63

Fehérvár FC attack 1.25 + Slovan Bratislava defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Slovan Bratislava scores more
52%
level
25%
Fehérvár FC scores more
24%

Slovan Bratislava at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Bratislava vs Fehérvár FC

Slovan Bratislava and Fehérvár FC drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 28, 2020.

The match was played at Štadión Tehelné pole in Bratislava.