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Slovan Bratislava II vs Zbrojovka Brno II — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Zbrojovka Brno II
Zbrojovka Brno II
Unknown 1'
2/21/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Slovan Bratislava II39%
×Draw25%
Zbrojovka Brno II36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava II
1.45
Zbrojovka Brno II
1.40

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 10 home / 5 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.30
Zbrojovka Brno II
1.20

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Zbrojovka Brno II
1.60

finishing

Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par
Zbrojovka Brno II+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava II ↓

Zbrojovka Brno II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava II or draw
64%
Slovan Bratislava II or Zbrojovka Brno II
75%
Draw or Zbrojovka Brno II
61%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
18%
Zbrojovka Brno II wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
77%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
42%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
18%
Zbrojovka Brno II 1+ goals
75%
Zbrojovka Brno II 2+ goals
41%
Zbrojovka Brno II 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
51%
Zbrojovka Brno II (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava II at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.60 · 10 matches

Zbrojovka Brno II away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.30 + Zbrojovka Brno II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.45

Zbrojovka Brno II attack 1.20 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Slovan Bratislava II scores more
39%
level
25%
Zbrojovka Brno II scores more
36%

Slovan Bratislava II at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slovan Bratislava II vs Zbrojovka Brno II

Slovan Bratislava II beat Zbrojovka Brno II 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 21, 2026.

Goals: ? (1').