Scoreo

Slovan Bratislava II vs Slávia TU Košice2. liga 2019

A. Maros 55', 25', 19'
M. Kianga 15'
4/12/20262. liga2. liga · Round 24Pasienky

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slovan Bratislava II53%
×Draw21%
Slávia TU Košice25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava II
2.05
Slávia TU Košice
1.35

Slovan Bratislava II creates 52% more chances

Season form · 95 home / 15 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.57
Slávia TU Košice
1.07

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.62
Slávia TU Košice
2.53

finishing

Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par
Slávia TU Košice+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava II

Slávia TU Košice
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
015%
023%
031%
040%
1
107%
119%
126%
133%
141%
2
207%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
305%
317%
324%
332%
341%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava II or draw
75%
Slovan Bratislava II or Slávia TU Košice
79%
Draw or Slávia TU Košice
47%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
31%
Slávia TU Košice wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
87%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
61%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
33%
Slávia TU Košice 1+ goals
74%
Slávia TU Košice 2+ goals
39%
Slávia TU Košice 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
68%
Slávia TU Košice (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava II at homecreates 1.57, concedes 1.62 · 95 matches

Slávia TU Košice awaycreates 1.07, concedes 2.53 · 15 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.57 + Slávia TU Košice defence 2.53 → ÷2 → 2.05

Slávia TU Košice attack 1.07 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Slovan Bratislava II scores more
53%
level
21%
Slávia TU Košice scores more
25%

Slovan Bratislava II at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Slovan
Slávia
Vladimir Gala
Manager: Vladimir Gala
64'O. JelinekM. Kianga
81'T. GabrisM. Mateas
81'S. HabodaszJ. Murko
87'P. IuhanyakA. Maros
87'V. CilicE. Kozyk

Slovan Bratislava II substitutes

56'D. PetrikR. Korba
56'M. DomikS. Sabolcik
75'S. HasajB. Gall

Slávia TU Košice substitutes

Match Recap: Slovan Bratislava II vs Slávia TU Košice

Slovan Bratislava II beat Slávia TU Košice 4-1 in 2. liga on April 12, 2026.

Goals: M. Kianga (15'), A. Maros (19', 25', 55'), M. Trebunak (50').

The match was played at Pasienky in Bratislava.