Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Slovácko U19 vs Jindřichův Hradec — 1. Liga U19 2020

Slovácko U19
Slovácko U19
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Jindřichův Hradec
Jindřichův Hradec
4/3/20241. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 19Stadion Širůch

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

Slovácko U1932%
×Draw23%
Jindřichův Hradec45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovácko U19
1.46
Jindřichův Hradec
1.78

Jindřichův Hradec creates 22% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 64 away

creates per match

Slovácko U19
1.48
Jindřichův Hradec
2.13

allows per match

Slovácko U19
1.44
Jindřichův Hradec
1.44

finishing

Slovácko U19+0.00on par
Jindřichův Hradec+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovácko U19 ↓

Jindřichův Hradec →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Slovácko U19 or draw
55%
Slovácko U19 or Jindřichův Hradec
77%
Draw or Jindřichův Hradec
68%

Winning margin

Slovácko U19 wins by 2+
15%
Jindřichův Hradec wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Slovácko U19 1+ goals
77%
Slovácko U19 2+ goals
43%
Slovácko U19 3+ goals
18%
Jindřichův Hradec 1+ goals
83%
Jindřichův Hradec 2+ goals
53%
Jindřichův Hradec 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Slovácko U19 (draw refunded)
41%
Jindřichův Hradec (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovácko U19 at home — creates 1.48, concedes 1.44 · 79 matches

Jindřichův Hradec away — creates 2.13, concedes 1.44 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovácko U19 attack 1.48 + Jindřichův Hradec defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.46

Jindřichův Hradec attack 2.13 + Slovácko U19 defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Slovácko U19 scores more
32%
level
23%
Jindřichův Hradec scores more
45%

Jindřichův Hradec at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Jindřichův Hradec will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

1. Liga U19: Slovácko U19 1–0 Jindřichův Hradec

Slovácko U19 beat Jindřichův Hradec 1-0 in 1. Liga U19 on April 3, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Širůch in Staré Město.