Sloboda DT 0–0 Vojvodina 1928: Result & Stats

Sloboda DT

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Vojvodina 1928

3/29/2025

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 19Stadion FK Sloboda

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Sloboda DT67%

×Draw21%

Vojvodina 192812%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sloboda DTExpected goals in this matchVojvodina 1928

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

0.66

Sloboda DT

1.90

Vojvodina 1928

0.66

Sloboda DT creates 188% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 43 away

1.60

creates per match

0.72

0.60

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Sloboda DT

1.60

Vojvodina 1928

0.72

allows per match

Sloboda DT

0.60

Vojvodina 1928

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sloboda DT+0.00on par

Vojvodina 1928+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sloboda DT ↓

Vojvodina 1928 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–15%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–110%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Sloboda DT or draw

88%

Sloboda DT or Vojvodina 1928

79%

Draw or Vojvodina 1928

33%

Winning margin

Sloboda DT wins by 2+

41%

Vojvodina 1928 wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Sloboda DT 1+ goals

85%

Sloboda DT 2+ goals

56%

Sloboda DT 3+ goals

29%

Vojvodina 1928 1+ goals

48%

Vojvodina 1928 2+ goals

14%

Vojvodina 1928 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Sloboda DT (draw refunded)

85%

Vojvodina 1928 (draw refunded)

15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sloboda DT at home — creates 1.60, concedes 0.60 · 30 matches

Vojvodina 1928 away — creates 0.72, concedes 2.19 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sloboda DT attack 1.60 + Vojvodina 1928 defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.90

Vojvodina 1928 attack 0.72 + Sloboda DT defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Sloboda DT scores more

67%

level

21%

Vojvodina 1928 scores more

12%

Sloboda DT at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Sloboda DT will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff