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Sligo Rovers W vs Glentoran BU W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Sligo Rovers W
Sligo Rovers W
FT
1 – 5
HT: 1 – 2
Glentoran BU W
Glentoran BU W
M. Devaney 42'
J. Andrews 86'
C. McCarron 76'
D. Vance 59'
K. Bailie 44'
K. A. Beattie 19'
5/19/2024All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3The Showgrounds

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Sligo Rovers W13%
×Draw15%
Glentoran BU W72%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sligo Rovers W
1.17
Glentoran BU W
2.92

Glentoran BU W creates 150% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Sligo Rovers W
0.83
Glentoran BU W
3.17

allows per match

Sligo Rovers W
2.67
Glentoran BU W
1.50

finishing

Sligo Rovers W+0.00on par
Glentoran BU W+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sligo Rovers W ↓

Glentoran BU W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–27%
0–37%
0–45%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–29%
1–38%
1–46%
2
2–01%
2–13%
2–25%
2–35%
2–44%
3
3–00%
3–11%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Sligo Rovers W or draw
28%
Sligo Rovers W or Glentoran BU W
85%
Draw or Glentoran BU W
87%

Winning margin

Sligo Rovers W wins by 2+
5%
Glentoran BU W wins by 2+
52%

Team goals

Sligo Rovers W 1+ goals
69%
Sligo Rovers W 2+ goals
33%
Sligo Rovers W 3+ goals
11%
Glentoran BU W 1+ goals
94%
Glentoran BU W 2+ goals
78%
Glentoran BU W 3+ goals
55%

Draw no bet

Sligo Rovers W (draw refunded)
15%
Glentoran BU W (draw refunded)
85%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sligo Rovers W at home — creates 0.83, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

Glentoran BU W away — creates 3.17, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sligo Rovers W attack 0.83 + Glentoran BU W defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.17

Glentoran BU W attack 3.17 + Sligo Rovers W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Sligo Rovers W scores more
13%
level
15%
Glentoran BU W scores more
72%

Glentoran BU W at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Glentoran BU W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'
K. A. Beattie
42'
M. Devaney
44'
K. Bailie
59'
D. Vance
76'
C. McCarron
86'
J. Andrews

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Sligo Rovers W vs Glentoran BU W

Glentoran BU W beat Sligo Rovers W 5-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 19, 2024.

Goals: K. A. Beattie (19'), M. Devaney (42'), K. Bailie (44'), D. Vance (59'), C. McCarron (76'), J. Andrews (86').

The match was played at The Showgrounds in Sligo.